Tuesday, August 28, 2012

Some Research

FR-6 - Backtest Report



Here is one of the "Magic" trading strategy which mixes fractal theory with neural networks. This test is done on Indian markets for duration of >20 years. Strategy delivers >20% Annual Alpha no matter what's the market condition. It was +ve in 2008, 2010, 2011 (>20%) and is +ve in 2012 (>10%).
For more details contact @ ajitk2003@gmail.com
Statistics | Charts | Trades | Formula | Settings | Symbols

Statistics
All tradesLong tradesShort trades
Initial capital10000.0010000.0010000.00
Ending capital5727463.915727463.9110000.00
Net Profit5717463.915717463.910.00
Net Profit %57174.64 %57174.64 %0.00 %
Exposure %40.32 %40.32 %0.00 %
Net Risk Adjusted Return %141802.18 %141802.18 %N/A
Annual Return %21.13 %21.13 %0.00 %
Risk Adjusted Return %52.40 %52.40 %N/A

All trades522522 (100.00 %)0 (0.00 %)
 Avg. Profit/Loss10953.0010953.00N/A
 Avg. Profit/Loss %1.31 %1.31 %N/A
 Avg. Bars Held6.796.79N/A

Winners250 (47.89 %)250 (47.89 %)0 (0.00 %)
 Total Profit10236114.2310236114.230.00
 Avg. Profit40944.4640944.46N/A
 Avg. Profit %4.23 %4.23 %N/A
 Avg. Bars Held10.1310.13N/A
 Max. Consecutive10100
 Largest win532267.64532267.640.00
 # bars in largest win39390

Losers272 (52.11 %)272 (52.11 %)0 (0.00 %)
 Total Loss-4518650.32-4518650.320.00
 Avg. Loss-16612.68-16612.68N/A
 Avg. Loss %-1.37 %-1.37 %N/A
 Avg. Bars Held3.733.73N/A
 Max. Consecutive770
 Largest loss-237632.73-237632.730.00
 # bars in largest loss660

Max. trade drawdown-293532.60-293532.600.00
Max. trade % drawdown-17.75 %-17.75 %0.00 %
Max. system drawdown-608610.16-608610.160.00
Max. system % drawdown-17.75 %-17.75 %0.00 %
Recovery Factor9.399.39N/A
CAR/MaxDD1.191.19N/A
RAR/MaxDD2.952.95N/A
Profit Factor2.272.27N/A
Payoff Ratio2.462.46N/A
Standard Error855554.46855554.460.00
Risk-Reward Ratio0.170.17N/A
Ulcer Index5.975.970.00
Ulcer Performance Index2.632.63N/A
Sharpe Ratio of trades1.601.600.00
K-Ratio0.01840.0184-1.#IND

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